Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.479511 1.680845 1.901424 2.161329 2.459595 2.791641 3.189957
2025-11-09 1.120058 1.369171 1.664087 2.040115 2.508454 3.074665 3.814300
2025-11-16 0.917569 1.191908 1.538357 2.010438 2.640772 3.458719 4.609184
2025-11-23 0.768110 1.050495 1.427257 1.970775 2.741526 3.805387 5.402446
2025-11-30 0.696434 0.997432 1.419365 2.060317 3.020542 4.423298 6.660154
2025-12-07 0.626616 0.934582 1.385513 2.102674 3.231114 4.965938 7.888016
2025-12-14 0.555143 0.858142 1.319241 2.083144 3.339118 5.360847 8.939597
2025-12-21 0.485644 0.774969 1.230650 2.013714 3.353157 5.600881 9.763942
2025-12-28 0.457790 0.753850 1.236290 2.096115 3.626273 6.303839 11.495592
2026-01-04 0.431683 0.731937 1.236988 2.168362 3.888771 7.020832 13.364493
2026-01-11 0.403889 0.703565 1.222684 2.210909 4.101041 7.672481 15.210295
2026-01-18 0.377850 0.675097 1.204442 2.242814 4.295541 8.314024 17.136597
2026-01-25 0.340652 0.623559 1.140883 2.185375 4.317102 8.636032 18.489979
2026-02-01 0.301023 0.563349 1.054808 2.073738 4.215371 8.694595 19.286744
2026-02-08 0.276466 0.529229 1.014674 2.048937 4.289771 9.133426 21.022193
2026-02-15 0.253230 0.495200 0.970948 2.011089 4.330692 9.504945 22.667865
2026-02-22 0.245761 0.491819 0.988062 2.103961 4.672263 10.602490 26.295494
2026-03-01 0.234076 0.478504 0.983170 2.147972 4.908643 11.491877 29.570037
2026-03-08 0.217808 0.453876 0.951740 2.128331 4.992422 12.026434 32.010418
2026-03-15 0.198904 0.421732 0.900780 2.057453 4.942341 12.220611 33.553581
2026-03-22 0.193820 0.419283 0.914911 2.141858 5.290082 13.486982 38.410573
2026-03-29 0.188164 0.414954 0.924281 2.215838 5.622038 14.766097 43.583092
2026-04-05 0.180730 0.405815 0.921569 2.259404 5.880352 15.887110 48.517512